ЭлБиб

Молочнохозяйственный вестник, №4 (24), IV кв. 2016

234

рефераты

and on the regional one. Investments into the branch modernization and innovations

will be more efficient and will bring a considerable synergetic effect on condition of

quality forecasting of the branch development indexes just as long-term so short-term

ones. The subject of the study is business relation arising in a process of long-term

forecasting of agricultural development. The object of the study is agriculture of the

Siberian Federal District. The methods of forecasting of agricultural production under

conditions of cyclical fluctuations and innovative development have been developed and

tested in the form of inertial and innovative forecasting. Forecasting of milk production

has been implemented in the Siberian Federal District within the bounds of the fifth long

agricultural cycle. The results of the forecasting have allowed determining the gross

output of each product in volume terms for the period of 40‒60 years and also showing

the results of forecasting graphically. Innovative forecasting of agricultural economics

will be realized as a result of massive innovative impulse, which is possible by means of

implementation of up-to-date agrarian innovations existing and being used nowadays

in contemporary agrarian economics of different countries worldwide.

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