ЭлБиб

Молочнохозяйственный вестник, №3 (11), III кв. 2013

Экономические науки

Analysis and prediction of social and demographic indica-

tors of alcoholic safeguard in Vologda region

Ovsyankina Natalia Mihaylovna, 1 year magister of the economical faculty

e-mail:

The N.V.Vereshchagin Vologda State Dairy Farming Academy

Shihova Oksana Anatolyevna, Can. of Sciences (Economics), associate professor

of the Statistics and Informational Technologies

e-mail:

The N.V.Vereshchagin Vologda State Dairy Farming Academy

Abstract:

The article considered the analysis of the structure and dynamics of the

household expenditures based on groups of productive and non-productive goods and

services in 2004-2005, and it defined the place of expenditures for alcoholic beverages

in this structure. The structure and dynamics of alcoholic beverages and beer in Vologda

region in 2004-2011 has been analyzed. Doubled correlation and regressive analysis

has been performed to find the correlation between the sales volume of alcoholic

beverages and beer with the social and demographic indicators, and to express it in the

certain functional dependence, and the prognosis of these indicators has been made as

well. The authors consider that the performed analysis makes it possible to value the

favourable tendency in relation to the alcoholic safeguard in Vologda region.

Keywords:

alcoholic safeguard, social and demographic indicators of alcoholic

safeguard, structure and dynamics of the household expenditures and sales alcoholic

beverages and beer.

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